MMSA Methanol Notes™ provide a weekly snapshot of international methanol markets including political and economic news, performance charts, trend analysis, and other information critical to traders.

MMSA Methanol Price Forecasts are updated at the end of each month. MMSA Monthly Price Forecasts contain the firms' month-to-month expectations of forward pricing using MMSA's price forecast methodology through December 2025.

MMSA Methanol-to-Olefins (MTO) COMING SOON! The MMSA database contains detailed records of upstream and downstream MTO configurations, econometric models for each location, generic models used in market analysis, capital cost estimates, records of operation, profitability, comparing these to typical olefins (i.e. naphtha based) production facilities, and allowing for affordability calculations of methanol in MTO configurations.

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Methanol Notes

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MMSA Methanol Notes are one-page summaries of items critical to the methanol and derivatives industries, issued Monday evenings Singapore time. Topics range broadly and include notices and brief overviews of ongoing MMSA updates to its supply and demand forecasts, price forecasts, methanol affordability analysis, MTO economics, and much more.

Use the Search box to locate Methanol Notes that meet your specific needs.  Simply type your area of interest into the box, and the list of Notes will be filtered accordingly. Some choices for searches might include gasoline, Coal, MTBE, Acetic Acid, China, Asia, US, etc.

New notes are added weekly.

Current Methanol and Derivatives Analysis (MDA) clients can freely access the Complete forecasts for March, June, September, and December when logged in to their account.

ProductDescription
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2025-02-11Each month, MMSA estimates full delivered cash costs for producers practically able to deliver to …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2025-02-04In 2018, responding to market requests for more inclusion in guiding the quarterly EU Contract …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2025-01-28United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures methanol-based forms of biodiesel produced in the US …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2025-01-21Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer selling MTBE …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2025-01-14Southeast Asia biodiesel production and consumption looks to accelerate in the new year of 2025 …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2025-01-07MMSA supply and demand balances for the Methanol and Derivatives Analysis (MDA) service (1Q 2025 …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-12-31Overall, China methanol demand will grow for another year. Apparent growth (net imports plus production) …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-12-17In January 2025, the United States will inaugurate President Donald Trump for a second time. …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-12-10MTO economics remain near parity with naphtha, with both means to manufacture olefins only marginally….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-12-03US lumber and methanol prices have risen at similar rates since September, with ratios of …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-11-26Most Russian methanol for export is now flowing via costly routes to China and Turkey …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-11-19Trinidad is second to the United States in methanol production capability in the Atlantic Basin, …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-11-12The China methanol delivered cost curve for October 2024 shows that methanol prices remain close …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-11-05MMSA conducted its monthly survey of European contractual buyers and sellers of methanol in late …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-10-29In one week, MMSA, in conjunction with IMPCA, will again assemble key industry stakeholders at …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-10-22United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures continue to show methanol-based forms of biodiesel losing …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-10-15Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer selling MTBE …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-10-08MMSA supply and demand balances for the 2024 Methanol and Derivatives Analysis (MDA) service have …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-10-01Apparent methanol demand growth in China increased month-on-month with higher imports and stable……..
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-09-24MMSA prices for conventional methanol bunkers and conventional methanol energy equivalents remain above energy affordability …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-09-17Global methanol prices are moving upwards, in concert with prior MMSA projections. The US has …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-09-10MTO economics remain impacted by weak olefins markets, containing methanol prices. Olefins prices (esp propylene) …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-09-03US lumber and methanol prices have both held relatively constant over the past several months, …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-08-27Although sanctions on Russian methanol to the European Union and UK continue to lower exports …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-08-20Slowly waning Trinidad and Tobago (Trinidad) natural gas is being made less available to existing …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-08-13Each month, MMSA estimates full delivered cash costs for methanol producers practically able to deliver …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-08-06In 2018, responding to market requests for more inclusion in guiding the quarterly EU Contract …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-07-30For the past 4 years, MMSA has tracked deep sea cargoes of methanol globally, creating …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-07-23United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures show methanol consuming forms of biodiesel……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-07-16Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer selling……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-07-09More than 6 years ago, in response to market concerns about transparency in settling the …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-07-02MMSA supply and demand balances for the 2024 Methanol and Derivatives Analysis (MDA) service (for …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-06-25Apparent methanol demand in China is slowly accelerating, supplied by restarts of coal-based facilities in……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-06-18MMSA prices for conventional methanol bunkers and conventional methanol energy equivalents……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-06-11Global methanol price direction continues to move upwards as expected on the continuation of supply …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-06-04Over the past three months, MTO economics have worsened. Economics at current methanol……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-05-28While sanctions on Russian methanol to the European Union and UK have notably……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-05-21US lumber prices have slipped while methanol prices have gained, and now 5-year average……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-05-14Trinidad natural gas was made increasingly available to existing operators in 2023 despite……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-05-07The China methanol delivered methanol cost curve shows improvement in China’s methanol……….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-04-30MMSA supply and demand balances for the 2024 Methanol and Derivatives Analysis (MDA) service have …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-04-23United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures continue to show methanol consuming forms of biodiesel …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-04-09Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer selling MTBE …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-03-26On March 21st – 22nd, 2024, MMSA hosted its inaugural Methanol Briefing in Houston, Texas,….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-03-19MMSA prices for conventional methanol bunkers and conventional methanol energy equivalents….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-03-12Global methanol price direction has moved upwards as forecast, with global supply issues influencing….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-03-05MTO economics continue to restrain methanol pricing, yielding low margins on ethylene….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-02-20US lumber prices continue to maintain levels which on par mirror those of methanol….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-02-13Apparent methanol demand in China (net imports plus production) is improved….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-02-06The China methanol delivered methanol cost curve early in 2024 shows improvement in the….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-01-30As the flow of deep-sea cargoes has been restricted due to low water levels in …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-01-23United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures through 2023 have methanol consuming forms….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-01-16Since import and transit sanctions were placed on Russian methanol to the European Union….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-01-09Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2024-01-02MMSA supply and demand balances for the 2023 Methanol and Derivatives Analysis (MDA) service….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-12-26As has been the case as a calendar year comes to an end, MMSA recaps …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-12-19As 2023 reaches its last days, estimates of 2023E US methanol apparent demand show that …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-12-12Global methanol price direction has split between East and West. China has begun to show …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-12-05MTO economics remain stable, as they have for several months, helping revive the significant buying …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-11-28MMSA has developed prices for conventional methanol bunkers and conventional methanol energy equivalents….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-11-21US lumber prices have maintained levels which on par mirror those of methanol, with 5-year …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-11-14Apparent demand (net imports plus production) in China moved toward positive annualized growth. Domestic….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-11-07The China cost curve continues to provide a strong floor under methanol prices, as coal …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-10-24United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures through September 2023 remain encouraging for methanol consuming …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-10-17Since the import and transit ban placed on Russian methanol to the European Union and …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-10-10Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer remains at …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-10-03MMSA supply and demand balances for the 2023 Methanol and Derivative (MDA) service have been …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-09-26Southeast Asia biodiesel production and consumption looks to regain its momentum in a post-COVID period, …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-09-19As 2023 adds more days of history to its books, estimates of 2023E US methanol …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-09-12The European Quarterly Contract Price (EU CP) is a reference for most methanol bought and …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-09-05MTO economics moved towards stable ground in August 2023. Methanol market prices are now in …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-08-29MMSA assessment of European apparent methanol demand through December 2023 confirms market is lagging. Apparent….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-08-22US lumber prices, now using a new contract, are falling at a pace similar to …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-08-15Global methanol prices continue to bounce along marginal costs to supply in China. While China …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-08-08China’s methanol production continues to sag as economics continue to suffer, and imports are not …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-08-01The China cost curve continues to provide a strong floor under methanol prices. For many …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-07-25MMSA supply and demand balances for the 2023 Methanol and Derivative (MDA) service have been …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-07-18United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures through May 2023 remain encouraging….
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-07-11Since June 18th, the full effect of EU sanctions has been felt in Moscow with …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-07-04Over the past three months, profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer remains…
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-06-27With the benefit of increased data, prior (and rosier) estimates of 2023E US methanol demand …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-06-20Since 2020, MMSA has been performing a detailed analysis of daily methanol shipments, tracking vessels …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-06-13The European Quarterly Contract Price (EU CP), a metric often cited by MMSA is used …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-06-06The 2023 Canadian Petrochemical Summit provided an occasion to present an overview of recent MMSA …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-05-30MMSA assessment of European apparent methanol demand through June 2023 confirms market is lagging. Apparent …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-05-23US lumber prices continue to fall at a pace faster than methanol, with 5-year average …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-05-16Olefins markets appear stuck in a rut with little change. MTO competitiveness versus naphtha-based olefins …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-05-09Global methanol prices continue to bounce along marginal costs to supply in China. While China …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-05-02Chinese methanol producers have had some yet not all of the weight of high coal …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-04-25Global MMSA supply and demand balance updates marking the first installment of 2023 Methanol and …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-04-18United States (US) D4 RIN consumption figures through early 2023 are encouraging for both biodiesel …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-04-11With the 9th package of sanctions against Russia and Belarus taking effect in January 2023, …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-04-04Profitability for a hypothetical Middle Eastern MTBE producer moved to all-time high levels as costs …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-03-28With limited available calendar year data, it appears, on the surface, that US methanol demand …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-03-21With only scant data available as 2023 gets underway, China methanol production is at sub …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-03-14The European Quarterly Contract Price (EU CP), which is referred by MMSA and other price …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-03-07MTO competitiveness versus naphtha-based olefins remained steady for a 3rd consecutive month, and both naphtha …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-02-28Global methanol spot prices moved in mixed directions a 2nd straight week. Asia was mixed, …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-02-21US lumber prices remain near their floors as the supply and demand balance resets. Meanwhile, …
MMSA Methanol Notes - 2023-02-14MMSA assessment of European apparent methanol demand through December 2022 confirms deteriorating market conditions after …

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